The collective value of all American publicly traded stocks is now over fifty-eight trillion dollars.
所有美国公开交易股票的总价值现在已超过五十八万亿美元。
That's more than a three times increase from just a decade ago, and American public stocks are now the second largest asset class in the world behind only Chinese real estate.
这比十年前增长了三倍多,美国公开交易股票现在是仅次于中国房地产的全球第二大资产类别。
These amazing returns coupled with new technology which makes getting into the market easier than ever before has mean that more Americans than ever are stockowners benefiting from this strong market!
这些惊人的回报加上新技术使得进入市场比以往任何时候都更容易,这意味着比以往任何时候都有更多的美国人成为受益于这个强劲市场的股票持有者!
Investing is the best tool for average people to build up wealth to fund some of their most important life goals like retirement, send their kids to college, or leaving some money behind for their children.
投资是普通人积累财富的最佳工具,可以资助他们最重要的人生目标,如退休、送孩子上大学或给孩子留下一些钱。
With more people than ever benefiting from the stock market it means what is good for investors is good for everybody.
随着越来越多的人从股市中受益,这意味着对投资者有利的事情对每个人都有利。
The only problem is basically everything I have just said is complete bullshit. You are not an investor, but it's really important that you think you are.
唯一的问题是,我刚才说的一切基本上都是胡说八道。 你不是投资者,但你认为自己是投资者真的很重要。
So as we talked about record for the S&P, record for the NASDAQ, it's a big list, some big numbers in terms of number of layoffs.
正如我们谈论标准普尔的记录、纳斯达克的记录时所说的那样,这是一个很长的清单,裁员人数也很大。
It's always negative and not to make of anything that people are going through because it's very hard, but often we see companies bounce up.
人们所经历的一切总是负面的,而且不能因此而造成什么后果,因为情况非常艰难,但我们经常看到公司反弹。
Okay, so the rate of stock ownership is approaching all-time highs, but those Highs are probably lower than you expect.
股票持有率正在接近历史最高水平,但这些高点可能低于您的预期。
According to a Gallup survey, just 61% of households own any stock at all, either directly or through a mutual trust.
根据盖洛普的一项调查,只有61%的家庭直接或通过互助信托持有股票。
This data is roughly in line with the FED estimates, which suggest that we have now surpassed the previous peak of household stock ownership that was reached just before the market crash of 2008.
这些数据与美联储的估计大致相符,这表明我们现在已经超过了2008年市场崩盘前家庭股票持有率的峰值。
More people owning more stocks is great, but the problem is that these record levels have only been hit for two reasons.
拥有更多股票的人越多是好事,但问题是这些创纪录的水平只因两个原因而达到。
The first reason is that most of these stocks are held in 401K accounts, which would become far more common as old-fashioned employee pension plans slowly go extinct.
第一个原因是这些股票中的大多数都持有在401K账户中,随着老式员工养老金计划逐渐消亡,这将变得更加普遍。
This is putting the market risk in retirement onto workers, but overall a diversified portfolio should be safer than an employee pension scheme,
这将退休后的市场风险转嫁给员工,但总体而言,多元化投资组合应该比员工养老金计划更安全,
which have been completely evaporated in dozens of high-profile corporate bankruptcies in past decades.
在过去几十年中,数十起备受瞩目的公司破产案中,员工养老金计划已经完全蒸发。
This is not really a sign of households owning more stocks though.
但这并不是家庭拥有更多股票的真正迹象。
Because in the past employer pension schemes would invest their employees pension accounts into the market to help fund the liability.
因为过去雇主养老金计划会将其员工养老金账户投资到市场中,以帮助偿还债务。
So the only thing that's really changed is what entity is holding on to the shares.
唯一真正改变的是持有股票的实体。
The second reason that more people own shares now is because it's become easier thanks to low-cost or zero commission brokerages like Robinhood.
现在更多人拥有股票的第二个原因是,由于Robinhood等低成本或零佣金经纪商的存在,这变得更加容易。
Now that isn't necessarily a good thing. Investing should be a part of a sound financial plan, but it will not make you rich by itself.
但这不一定是件好事。投资应该是健全财务计划的一部分,但它本身不会让你致富。
According to Robinhood's most recent filing, its average funded account had less than $5,000 invested in total.
根据Robinhood的最新文件,其平均资金账户的总投资额不到5000美元。
Another report published by the finance firm Stilt found that almost 43% of Robinhood users had FICO scores below 650.
金融公司Stilt发布的另一份报告发现,近43%Robinhood用户的FICO分数低于650。
A survey conducted by The Wall Street Journal found that debt relief was one of the primary motivators for using the investing app. Now I don't want to crush anybody's dreams here.
《华尔街日报》进行的一项调查发现,债务减免是使用投资应用程序的主要动机之一。现在我不想在这里粉碎任何人的梦想。
But the chance of being able to generate investment returns greater than the interest payments on high-risk consumer credit is effectively zero in the long-term.
但从长远来看,能够产生高于高风险消费信贷利息支付的投资回报的可能性实际上为零。
There are people who get lucky, but the vast majority of these investors would be much better taking the money they are putting into Robinhood and using it to pay down their high interest debt.
有些人很幸运,但绝大多数投资者最好把他们投入Robinhood的钱拿来偿还高息债务。
If you do happen to have a consistent strategy for generating returns above the interest rate of a low credit score car loan, then you don't have to worry about those anyway.
如果你碰巧有一个一致的策略来产生高于低信用评分车贷利率的回报,那么你无论如何都不必担心这些。
Because Citadel or Jane Street would probably offer you a seven-figure signing bonus.
因为Citadel或Jane Street可能会给你提供七位数的签约奖金。
Clearly a lot of these users are not being realistic about generating consistent investment returns. They're gambling.
显然,很多这些用户对产生持续的投资回报并不现实。他们在赌博。
It's probably no coincidence that the fall inactive users for Robinhood lines up almost perfectly with the rise in active users for sports gambling apps like DraftKings, FanDuel, and the various Casino offerings.
Robinhood的非活跃用户数量下降与DraftKings、FanDuel和各种Casino产品等体育博彩应用的活跃用户数量上升几乎完全一致,这可能并非巧合。
A report by Bloomberg found that these investors were taking their money out of stocks to top up their accounts on these platforms.
彭博社的一份报告发现,这些投资者正在将他们的钱从股票中取出,以充值这些平台上的账户。
And really they have about the same chance of hitting a 5-leg parlay as they do making money on a zero data expiry out of the money call option on orange juice futures.
实际上,他们获得五轮连赢的概率与他们通过零数据到期的橙汁期货价外看涨期权赚钱的概率大致相同。
So the number of people owning shares for the first time is misleading at best and outright dangerous at worst, but you are probably better than that. Right?
首次拥有股票的人数充其量是误导性的,最坏的情况是完全危险的,但你可能比这更好。对吧?
You might have a buy and hold portfolio that you make regular contributions to.
你可能有一个买入并持有的投资组合,你会定期向其中注资。
You don't have any high interest debt and you might even watch low energy boomers like Ben Felix or The Plain Bagel that give realistic guidance on how to invest your money. Surely you are an investor. Right? Wrong.
你没有任何高息债务,你甚至可能会观看Ben Felix或The Plain Bagel等低能量婴儿潮一代的节目,他们会就如何投资提供现实的指导。你肯定是个投资者。对吗?错了。
Statistically speaking, the only difference between you the average person watching this video and someone blowing up their Robinhood account is at least those guys have a little bit of self-awareness.
从统计学上来说,普通人观看这段视频和某人爆仓Robinhood账户之间的唯一区别在于,至少那些人有一点自我意识。