n. 候选人,求职者
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- you can see the black population
- 从对照图中看到黑人密集的地方
- you can see the Democratic voting areas
- 与支持民主党的县
- very very close correlation
- 有着很紧密的对应关系
- the one gain for Obama was East Baton Rouge Parish
- 奥巴马新获得了巴吞鲁日东部一个区的支持
- that's where the city of Baton Rouge
- 这是巴吞鲁日所在地县
- that's Louisiana State University
- 也是路易安娜州立大学所在地
- so again Obama did very well in college areas
- 可见奥巴马在大学选民中很得人心
- so that's one county he gained
- 这是它新拿下的一个县
- a parish I should say
- 或者说一个教区
- they don't have counties there
- 那里还不算是一个县
- Tennessee big losses for the Democrats
- 民主党人在田纳西也损失惨重
- again here were... here like Arkansas
- 我们又看到了与阿肯色相似的情况
- white, poor, heavily religious counties
- 贫穷 信教 以白人为主的县中
- there's only a couple
- 只剩下
- this is Nashville
- 纳什维尔
- this is Memphis
- 和孟菲斯
- but these counties here are the last remainders of rural, white, poor Evangelical counties
- 这最后几个县支持民主党 这些贫穷的农村以皈依福音教的白人为主
- that actually still went for the Democratic candidate
- 虽然他们仍然将选票投给民主党候选人
- but there was major erosion
- 但选票已有大量的流失
- somebody did want to see Delaware
- 有人想看德拉华州的选情
- here's a point I want to make here
- 这里我想说的是
- Maryland and Delaware the state level look like New England
- 都是典型才新英格兰州 马里兰州和德拉华州在州级选情上
- very heavy Democratic voting
- 极为倾向民主党
- at the county level they don't at all
- 而在县级选情上则不然
- Maryland it's a swath through the center
- 在马里兰州只有中心地带的县泛蓝
- suburban D.C.
- 包括华盛顿特区城郊
- particularly Prince George's County
- 尤其是乔治王子县
- African American middle-class suburban county
- 还有聚集了黑人中产阶级的郊县
- Baltimore City Baltimore County
- 如巴尔的摩所在的巴尔的摩县
- Montgomery County
- 蒙哥马利县
- the rest Republican
- 其余的都支持共和党
- now show you a map of New England
- 现在给你们看一幅新英格兰的地图
- this is gonna look very surprising it's because the colors are inverted
- 你们一开始看到可能会惊讶 因为图中红色是民主党 蓝色是共和党
- this is how Dave Leip's does his Atlas Dave
- Leip制图时就是这样用色的
- I didn't change them because I couldn't fit them together in the little jigsaw puzzle
- 我没有改过来 因为图中的拼图形状颜色很难改过来
- at last I left them as they were
- 所以你们看到是原图
- so here red is Democratic voting
- 所以红色代表支持民主党
- you can see one county which has
- 你看到只有一个县(支持共和党)
- Piscataquis County if I'm saying it right?
- 皮斯卡塔丘斯县 名字没记错吧?
- only has 17,000 people
- 这个县只有17000人
- that's the only county that McCain took in all of New England
- 这是麦凯恩在新英格兰唯一获胜的县
- so that's why a lot of people are saying this area is pretty much a loss to the Republicans
- 所以很多人都认为共和党人在新英格兰是一败涂地

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这一集仔细分析了08年美国总统大选的选情,从教育程度、宗教、人种、郊县的发展趋势等各方面阐述了奥巴马获胜的原因,以及民主党08年支持率上升的具体趋势。亮点:是投给民主党还是共和党呢?这里面的奥妙特别多。跟性别、年龄、受教育程度、富裕程度、人种、宗教都有关系。80多岁老人可能更倾向于民主党,因为奥巴马对经济危机的乐观态度和许以民众的美好未来,让他们想起了罗斯福在面临大萧条时的英雄形象,对此,他们常怀感激。

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