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n. 交换，变化，移动，接班者
v. 更替，移
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- ok, yes
- 请提问
- question
- （问题）
- geographical yes
- 地理上
- counties to me it's a...
- 我认为最重要的县...
- the big story at a fine scale geographical analysis is suburban Denver, suburban Washington D.C.
- 从地理上来看这次大选中最关键的变化在 丹佛郊县 华盛顿特区郊县
- and Orlando and Tampa Bay in Florida
- 奥兰多 和佛罗里达的坦帕湾
- those areas were enough really to shift the election
- 这些区域足以扭转这次大选的结果
- if you take those as a whole
- 如果你将这些区域的变化看作整体
- with Virginia, with Colorado and Florida going in the Democratic campaign
- 他们使弗吉尼亚 科罗拉多和佛州 被民主党收入囊中
- so I think that's key
- 我认为是非常关键的
- most interesting to me is Indiana
- 对我而言最有趣的州是印第安纳
- I'll say Indianan on the one side
- 除了印第安纳州
- and Arkansas and Tennessee on the other
- 还有阿肯色和田纳西的选情
- that is just sort of the most compelling issue
- 他们的选情对我来说非常吸引
- one I would like to look at more
- 我很想深入的了解
- figure out why, why this has happened in Indiana
- 找出到底为什么 为什么印第安纳的选情会出现这样的变化
- I don't think anyone is gonna do it
- 可能没人会去研究其中的原因
- no one really does this kind of research
- 没人做过相关的研究
- a kind of research that involves knowing a state at a real personal level
- 深入的研究 把一个州的选情和它自身的特殊性结合起来
- knowing the culture, knowing the different cities
- 了解它的文化 以及不同城市的情况
- it's not much that anyone really does
- 很少人会做这项工作
- there are some political geographers, some political scientists
- 虽然有很多政治地理学家 政治科学家
- but not usually that level of analysis
- 但他们都没进行过这个层次的研究
- it just hasn't done not as much
- 相关的研究非常少
- that's what I'd like to know more about
- 但我对此很想有更深入的了解
- is there question in the front?
- 前面的同学还有问题吗?
- that is a great comment
- 你说的很好
- noting the use by the Obama campaign of Facebook, other Internet sites
- 我们注意到奥巴马在竞选中运用了脸书和网站等网络工具
- contrasting that the McCain campaign were certainly
- 对比之下麦凯恩阵营
- suggests were made that John McCain didn't really pretty include
- 很多人都认为 他没有运用好这些工具
- there's a lot of jokes made about that
- 有很多关于这个问题的笑话在流传
- one interesting thing I found is sort of the spontaneous YouTube videos
- 我注意到一个有趣的事情是 YouTube上有些网友自制的视频
- they are not made by the campaigns
- 不是由竞选阵营制作的助选视频
- they are made by individuals
- 通常是个人自发制作的
- but they circulate very rapidly
- 但是流传得非常快
- I don't know how much of an impact that had
- 我不知道这些视频会不会起到一些作用
- but this is something new under the sun
- 但这是世界范围内掀起的新浪潮
- something that sort of viral campaigning if you will at a very grassroot level
- 通过网络的方式来达到竞选的目的受众都是很平民的阶层
- both sides use it
- 两党都用了这种手段
- but certainly most analysts would say it was the Democratic side
- 但很多分析者都认为民主党从中（受益更多）
- and of course young people are so much more savvy and sophisticated than people of my generation on these sort of issues
- 年轻人显然对网络运用比我这代的人更为娴熟和精明 尤其是这些新事物上
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这一集仔细分析了08年美国总统大选的选情，从教育程度、宗教、人种、郊县的发展趋势等各方面阐述了奥巴马获胜的原因，以及民主党08年支持率上升的具体趋势。亮点：是投给民主党还是共和党呢？这里面的奥妙特别多。跟性别、年龄、受教育程度、富裕程度、人种、宗教都有关系。80多岁老人可能更倾向于民主党，因为奥巴马对经济危机的乐观态度和许以民众的美好未来，让他们想起了罗斯福在面临大萧条时的英雄形象，对此，他们常怀感激。
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