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演讲简介：
经济作家提姆·哈福德研究复杂的系统，他在成功的事例中发现了意想不到的链接：它们都经历了试验和不断排除错误的过程。 在这个精彩的TEDGlobal 2011 演讲中，他呼吁我们接纳随机性并开始学会犯些有益的错误。
n. 不确定，不可靠，半信半疑 (学术)不可信度; 偏差
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- It is dangerous for patients to recover from heart attacks at home.
- 让心脏病人在家康复是危险的。
- They should be in hospital."
- 他们应该留在医院里。”
- And there's this uproar, and all the doctors start pounding the table and saying, "We always said you were unethical, Archie.
- 这引起了一片哗然，医生们开始拍桌子，说道：“我们一直说阿奇，你这样做是不道德的。
- You're killing people with your clinical trials. You need to shut it down now.
- 你在用临床试验杀人，你应该立刻停止。
- Shut it down at once." And there's this huge hubbub. Archie lets it die down.
- 马上停止。” 阿奇等这一阵大吵大嚷平息后，
- And then he says, "Well that's very interesting, gentlemen, because when I gave you the table of results,
- 说：“先生们，真是很有意思，因为当我给你们看结果的时候，
- I swapped the two columns around. It turns out your hospitals are killing people, and they should be at home.
- 我互换了这两行资料，其实结果证明你们的医院在杀人，病人应该在家恢复。
- Would you like to close down the trial now, or should we wait until we have robust results?"
- 你们还想让我停止试验呢，还是希望等我们得到更确切的结果？”
- Tumbleweed rolls through the meeting room.
- 会议室安静下来。
- But Cochrane would do that kind of thing.
- 阿奇喜欢做这样的事情。
- And the reason he would do that kind of thing is because he understood it feels so much better to stand there and say,
- 他喜欢这么做的原因是，他知道大家更喜欢站在那里说：
- "Here in my own little world, I am a god, I understand everything. I do not want to have my opinions challenged.
- “在我的小世界里，我是上帝，我懂得一切，我不希望有人挑战我的观点。
- I do not want to have my conclusions tested."
- 我不需要有人来测试我的结论。”
- It feels so much more comfortable simply to lay down the law.
- 简单地定下法则，让人感到更自在。
- Cochrane understood that uncertainty, that fallibility, that being challenged, they hurt.
- 阿奇懂得那种不肯定,不可靠以及被挑战的感觉，他们感到受伤。
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| 重点单词 | 查看全部解释 | |||
| uncertainty | [ʌn'sə:tnti] | |||
| clinical | ['klinikəl] | |||
| trial | ['traiəl] | |||
| fallibility | [,fælə'biləti] | |||
| uproar | ['ʌprɔ:] | 联想记忆 | ||
| understand | [.ʌndə'stænd] |
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