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演讲简介：
经济作家提姆·哈福德研究复杂的系统，他在成功的事例中发现了意想不到的链接：它们都经历了试验和不断排除错误的过程。 在这个精彩的TEDGlobal 2011 演讲中，他呼吁我们接纳随机性并开始学会犯些有益的错误。
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- Until then, until then I'm going to keep banging on about trial and error and why we should abandon the God complex.
- 到那时候，到那时候，我会继续讨论测试和排除错误这个话题，以及为什么我们需要抛弃“万能神力”的态度。
- Because it's so hard to admit our own fallibility. It's so uncomfortable.
- 因为我们很难承认我们自己是很容易犯错的。这令人感到很不舒服。
- And Archie Cochrane understood this as well as anybody.
- 阿奇·卡克伦和其他人一样理解这一点。
- There's this one trial he ran many years after World War II.
- 这是二战后多年，他做的一个试验。
- He wanted to test out the question of, where is it that patients should recover from heart attacks?
- 他想要测试出，病人心脏病发作后，应该在哪里康复？
- Should they recover in a specialized cardiac unit in hospital, or should they recover at home?
- 他们是应该在医院的心脏科康复，还是在家康复？
- All the cardiac doctors tried to shut him down. They had the God complex in spades.
- 所有心脏科医生都想要把他挡在门外。他们完全摆出一副拥有万能神力的样子。
- They knew that their hospitals were the right place for patients,
- 他们知道医院才是病人康复的地方，
- and they knew it was very unethical to run any kind of trial or experiment.
- 他们觉得做任何试验都是不道德的。
- Nevertheless, Archie managed to get permission to do this. He ran his trial.
- 无论如何，阿奇得到了试验的许可。他进行了试验，
- And after the trial had been running for a little while, he gathered together all his colleagues around his table,
- 试验进行了一阵后， 他把他所有的同事召集到他桌旁，
- and he said, "Well, gentlemen, we have some preliminary results.
- 说：“先生们，我们已经有了初步的结果。
- They're not statistically significant. But we have something.
- 这些数据在统计学上并不可观。但是我们有了些数据。
- And it turns out that you're right and I'm wrong.
- 结果表明你们是正确的我是错的。
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| 重点单词 | 查看全部解释 | |||
| specialized | ['speʃəlaizd] | |||
| permission | [pə'miʃən] | 联想记忆 | ||
| fallibility | [,fælə'biləti] | |||
| uncomfortable | [ʌn'kʌmftəbl] | |||
| trial | ['traiəl] | |||
| abandon | [ə'bændən] | 联想记忆 | ||
| nevertheless | [.nevəðə'les] | |||
| complex | ['kɔmpleks] | 联想记忆 |
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