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经济学人:美国经济:特朗普的繁荣能持久吗?(2)

时间:2018-04-10 10:05:00 编辑:clover 可可英语APP下载 | 可可官方微信:ikekenet

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Yet the economy is not in immediate danger.
然而，经济体并非处于迫在眉睫的危险之中。

And the maturity of the business cycle cuts both ways.
而且，商业周期的成熟把这两种情况都排除了。

It makes a nonsense of Mr Trump's claims to be the author of American economic success.
特朗普有关他是美国经济成功造就者的说法纯属胡说八道。

But the economy is also capable of some welcome surprises.
但是，经济体出现某些受欢迎的惊喜也是有可能的。

America is not the only economy doing well.
美国不是唯一运转良好的经济体。

For about a year, a synchronised global expansion, taking in Europe, Asia and the Americas, has been under way.
一年来，发生在欧洲、亚洲和美洲的某种步调一致的全球扩张一直都在进行之中。

GDP growth in the euro zone, a region until recently synonymous with economic misery, is around 2.5%, despite slower population growth than America's.
在直到最近都是经济窘境代名词的欧元区，GDP增长在2.5%左右，尽管其人口增长慢于美国。

But America stands out because of where it is in the cycle.
但是，美国的一枝独秀是因为她正处于扩张周期中。

If it continues in 2018, this expansion will become the country's second-longest ever.
倘若这一周期在2018年继续下去，这次的扩张将成为该国史上的第二长时间扩张。

True, there are perils.
诚然，风险是存在的。

As the business cycle matures, there is more chance that the economy will overheat, because of bottlenecks in the jobs market;
随着商业周期走到头，由于就业市场的瓶颈，经济将会过热的可能性越来越大；

or that the central bank overtightens in order to prevent things from running too hot.
为防止事态过热，央行过度收紧的可能性也越来越大。

The longer the economy keeps growing, moreover, the more scope there is for financial imbalances, such as excess debt or frothy asset prices, to build up.
经济体越长时间地保持增长，过度债务或者是泡沫化的资产价格等金融失衡逐步累积的空间就越大。

Some warning signals are flashing.
一些警示信号正在闪烁。

The gap between long-term and short-term interest rates has narrowed, as it tends to before recessions.
长短利率差已经如其在危机之前常常好出现的那样缩小。

Yet the evidence for overheating is thin.
然而，过热的证据是贫乏的。

Inflation has trended lower this year.
今年以来，通胀一路走低。

Wage growth has picked up a little, thankfully, but shows few signs of accelerating.
好在工资增长有所抬头，但没有显现出多少加速的迹象。

Pay would have to increase by quite a lot more before rising inflation is a real worry.
工资支付不得不在日渐上升的通胀之前大幅增长是一个确切的担忧。

扫描二维码进行跟读打分训练

1.interest rates 利率

例句:High interest rates have stunted economic growth.

高利率已经阻碍了经济的增长。

2.picked up 捡起；收拾

例句:I picked up the phone book and glanced through it.

我拿起电话簿，匆匆扫了一遍。

3.Wage growth 工资增长

例句:Wage growth is moderate everywhere, in spite of tight labour markets.

尽管劳动力市场供应紧张，但全球各国的工资增长颇为温和。

4.in order to 为了

例句:In order to transform their environment, he drew up the project with painstaking accuracy.

为了改造环境，他苦心孤诣地制订了这个计划。

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重点单词		查看全部解释
prevent	[pri'vent]	想一想再看 v. 预防，防止	联想记忆 X 单词prevent 联想记忆： pre预先+vent来→预先来到→抢先一步，防止别人→防止，阻止
painstaking	['peinz.teikiŋ]	想一想再看 adj. 辛苦的，勤勉的 n. 辛苦，苦心，工夫	联想记忆 X 单词painstaking 联想记忆： pains痛；辛苦，taking拿：拿出辛苦－辛苦的
spite	[spait]	想一想再看 n. 恶意，怨恨 vt. 刁难，伤害	联想记忆 X 单词spite 联想记忆：我对你有spite就会bite你。Spit（v 吐吐沫）使你spite
excess	[ik'ses, 'ekses]	想一想再看 n. 过量，超过，过剩 adj. 过量的，额外	联想记忆 X 单词excess 联想记忆：来自excess（过分），ex，cess（走）－走出格－过分
moderate	['mɔdəreit,'mɔdərit]	想一想再看 adj. 适度的，稳健的，温和的，中等的 v.	联想记忆 X 单词moderate 联想记忆： moder模，规矩+ate表形容词，“具有…的”→有节制的
capable	['keipəbl]	想一想再看 adj. 有能力的，足以胜任的，有 ... 倾向的
global	['gləubəl]	想一想再看 adj. 全球性的，全世界的，球状的，全局的	联想记忆 X 单词global 联想记忆：北京有一个global的厅
maturity	[mə'tjuəriti]	想一想再看 n. 成熟，(支票等的)到期
environment	[in'vaiərənmənt]	想一想再看 n. 环境，外界
synonymous	[si'nɔniməs]	想一想再看 adj. 同义的	联想记忆 X 单词synonymous 联想记忆： syno＝same，nym＝name，ous－同样名字的－同义的