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- 60 Second Adventures in Economics—Number six: Rational Choice Theory
- 《60秒经济学探奇》第六节:理性选择理论
- Of all the things to factor in when running an economy, the most troublesome is people.
- 运行一个经济体,最让人头疼的因素莫过于人。
- Now by and large—humans are a rational lot.
- 总体而言,人是理性的。
- When the price of something rises people will supply more of it—and buy less of it.
- 价格上涨时,人们会供给更多,购买更少。
- If they expect inflation to go up—people will usually ask for higher wages (though they might not get them)
- 如果通胀上升,人们会要求更高工资。只是可能得不到。
- And if they can see interest or exchange rates falling in one country,
- 看到一个国家的利率或汇率下降时,
- people with lots of money there will try to move it out, faster than you can say 'double dip'.
- 有很多钱的人们会将钱移往海外 快得你来不及说“二次探底”。
- And governments often decide their economic policies assuming such rational actions.
- 而政府通常在假设理性行为的前提下进行经济政策决策。
- Which would be great, if it weren't for the fact that those pesky humans don't always do what's best for them.
- 这非常棒,如果不是那些烦人的人类总不按照对他们最有利的方式行事的话。
- Sometimes they mistakenly think they know all the facts, or maybe the facts are just too complicated.
- 有时他们误以为自己知道所有事实,或者也许事实太过复杂。
- And sometimes people just decide to follow the crowd, relying on others to know what they're doing.
- 有时人们只是从众,看别人怎么做自己就怎么做。
- When too many cheap mortgages were being sold in 2007 a lot of people didn't know what was going on.
- 2007年,太多便宜抵押贷款被出售,很多人都不知道是什么情况,
- And a lot of others just followed the crowd. Some lenders may have rationally believed that,
- 很多人只是追随大众。某些放款人也许理性地相信,
- when the crunch came, the scale of the problem would force governments to rescue them.
- 危机来临时,问题的规模会逼迫政府援救他们。
- Which was true for the banks. If not for all their customers.
- 对于银行是如此,但对他们的所有顾客并非如此。
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课程介绍:
课程以轻松的漫画形式讲解了经济学的几个原理,内容包括:看不见的手、节俭悖论、菲利普斯曲线、比较优势理论、三元悖论和理性选择理论。带你轻轻松松了解经济学。
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来源:可可英语 http://www.kekenet.com/Article/201605/445586.shtml